LUCKYSPIRE

Result · The Hundred

Southern Brave vs Welsh Fire

Venue par · 186Chase success · 47%POTM · C Overton

Match preview & overview

Southern Brave hold their nerve to beat Welsh Fire by 4 runs at The Rose Bowl

Southern Brave beat Welsh Fire by 4 runs at The Rose Bowl on 28 August 2025, in one of the tighter finishes of this year's Hundred. Brave batted first and posted 167/7, losing wickets in clusters but scoring 90 runs in the middle phase to build a defendable total. Welsh Fire gave themselves a chance with 44 runs in the final phase of their innings, but having stumbled to 31/3 in the powerplay, they were always chasing the game. C Overton took the Player of the Match award as Brave held their nerve.

The match followed a pattern familiar to anyone who has watched this fixture: close, decided in the finer margins, and ending with Brave on the right side of the result. They have now won 8 of their 10 meetings with Welsh Fire, including both of the matches decided by fewer than 5 runs. Welsh Fire's lone victory in this rivalry feels increasingly distant.

Both sides came in having won just twice in their last five matches. For Brave, this win. Their second against Fire in 2025. At least ends a run of four consecutive defeats. Fire, meanwhile, drop to 2 wins from their last five as well.

Pitch report & venue insights

The Rose Bowl, Southampton148-match sample

Aggregate conditions from 2003–2025. Numbers that tend to decide matches at this ground — par score, chase success, powerplay averages and toss bias.

148

T20 matches hosted

186

Avg 1st-innings score

161

Avg 2nd-innings score

47%

Chase success rate

45

Avg powerplay runs

53%

Toss-field rate

Key talking points

Moments the match hinged on

5 angles

Headline angle

Brave survive a nervy finish to win by 4 runs

Southern Brave posted 167/7 and Welsh Fire came agonisingly close, finishing on 163/6. The 4-run margin was the slimmest victory in this fixture since Brave won by 2 runs at The Rose Bowl in 2023. C Overton's performance earned him the Player of the Match award.

Angle 02

Welsh Fire's powerplay cost them the match

Welsh Fire lost 3 wickets in the powerplay for just 31 runs, well below the venue's average of 43 powerplay runs across 148 matches. Southern Brave managed 37 in their powerplay but also lost 3 wickets, meaning the middle overs became decisive for both sides.

Angle 03

Middle overs settled both innings

Both teams scored heavily in the middle phase: Brave made 90 runs for 2 wickets, while Fire hit 88 for just 1. That near-identical output meant the match was effectively decided by what happened either side of it, and the Brave's cleaner powerplay effort proved the difference.

Angle 04

Southern Brave's head-to-head record is extraordinary

Brave have now won 8 of their 10 meetings with Welsh Fire, including the last four completed fixtures. The only Welsh Fire victory in this rivalry came in one of those 10 matches; there was also one no-result.

Angle 05

Rose Bowl conditions tilted towards the first innings

The venue's average first-innings score across 148 matches is 186, compared with a 161 average for the side batting second. The chase success rate here sits at 47 per cent, which meant Welsh Fire faced a slight structural disadvantage from the moment they chose to field.

Betting & analytical angles

Angles the data surfaced

Observations from the venue data, recent form and historical trends. Editorial context, not betting advice.

  • Top batter markets may be worth monitoring given how heavily the middle overs influenced both innings: both sides scored 88-90 runs in that phase, suggesting batter-friendly conditions once the powerplay pressure eases.
  • The Rose Bowl's 47 per cent chase success rate historically tilts first-innings advantage markets slightly towards the side batting first, which is worth bearing in mind for toss-related lines.
  • Welsh Fire's powerplay record in this fixture. 31 runs for 3 wickets versus a venue average of 43. Could make top-wicket-taker markets more active in the opening phase.
  • Given how many close finishes this rivalry has produced, including two wins by fewer than 5 runs, match margin markets may reflect a wider range of outcomes than the head-to-head record alone implies.

For editorial context only. Not a forecast and not betting advice. 18+ only, please gamble responsibly.

Frequently asked

Questions about Southern Brave vs Welsh Fire

Who won the Southern Brave vs Welsh Fire Hundred match on 28 August 2025?

Southern Brave won by 4 runs at The Rose Bowl in Southampton. They posted 167/7 batting first, and Welsh Fire fell just short on 163/6 in their 100 balls.

Who was Player of the Match in Southern Brave vs Welsh Fire?

C Overton was named Player of the Match for his contribution to Southern Brave's 4-run victory at The Rose Bowl on 28 August 2025.

What is the head-to-head record between Southern Brave and Welsh Fire?

Southern Brave hold a dominant 8-1 advantage across 10 meetings, with 1 no-result. Their last four completed matches have all ended in Brave victories, including two wins by narrow margins of 2 and 4 runs.

Where to watch Southern Brave vs Welsh Fire in the Hundred?

The Hundred is broadcast live on Sky Sports Cricket in the UK, with streaming available via Sky Go and NOW TV. BBC Two and iPlayer carry selected matches as part of the BBC's free-to-air coverage arrangement.

What is the average score at The Rose Bowl in Hundred/T20 cricket?

Across 148 matches at The Rose Bowl in Southampton, the average first-innings score is 186 and the average second-innings score is 161. The average powerplay contribution is 43 runs, and the chase success rate stands at 47 per cent.

What was the toss result and did it matter in this match?

Welsh Fire won the toss and chose to field. That decision placed them in the chasing position at a ground where only 47 per cent of chases succeed historically. Brave's 167/7 proved just enough, with Fire finishing 4 runs short on 163/6.

Photo credits (1)
  • Moeen Ali — photo by www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia, CC BY 2.0 · source
18+

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